@article {1420,
	title = {Explainable boosted linear regression for time series forecasting},
	journal = {Pattern Recognition},
	volume = {120},
	year = {2021},
	pages = {108144},
	abstract = {<p>Time series forecasting involves collecting and analyzing past observations to develop a model to extrapolate such observations into the future. Forecasting of future events is important in many fields to support decision making as it contributes to reducing the future uncertainty. We propose explainable boosted linear regression (EBLR) algorithm for time series forecasting, which is an iterative method that starts with a base model, and explains the model{\textquoteright}s errors through regression trees. At each iteration, the path leading to highest error is added as a new variable to the base model. In this regard, our approach can be considered as an improvement over general time series models since it enables incorporating nonlinear features by residual explanation. More importantly, use of the single rule that contributes to the error most enables access to interpretable results. The proposed approach extends to probabilistic forecasting through generating prediction intervals based on the empirical error distribution. We conduct a detailed numerical study with EBLR and compare against various other approaches. We observe that EBLR substantially improves the base model performance through extracted features, and provide a comparable performance to other well established approaches. The interpretability of the model predictions and high predictive accuracy of EBLR makes it a promising method for time series forecasting.</p>},
	keywords = {ARIMA, Decision trees, Linear regression, Probabilistic forecasting, Time series regression},
	issn = {0031-3203},
	doi = {https://doi.org/10.1016/j.patcog.2021.108144},
	url = {https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0031320321003319},
	author = {Igor Ilic and Berk G{\"o}rg{\"u}l{\"u} and Mucahit Cevik and Mustafa Gokce Baydogan}
}
@article {1473,
	title = {Profitable Decarbonization through E-Mobility},
	journal = {Energies},
	volume = {13},
	year = {2020},
	abstract = {<p>This paper focuses on the interdependent relationship of power generation, transportation and CO2 emissions to evaluate the impact of electric vehicle deployment on power generation and CO2 emissions. The value of this evaluation is in the employment of a large-scale, bottom-up, national energy modeling system that encompasses the complex relationships of producing, transforming, transmitting and supplying energy to meet the useful demand characteristics with great technological detail. One of such models employed in this analysis is the BUEMS model. The BUEMS model provides evidence of win-win policy options that lead to profitable decarbonization using Turkey{\textquoteright}s data in BUEMS. Specifically, the result shows that a ban on diesel fueled vehicles reduces lifetime emissions as well as lifetime costs. Furthermore, model results highlight the cost-effective emission reduction potential of e-buses in urban transportation. More insights from the results indicate that the marginal cost of emission reduction through e-bus transportation is much lower than that through other policy measures such as carbon taxation in transport. This paper highlights the crucial role the electricity sector plays in the sustainability of e-mobility and the value of related policy prescriptions.</p>},
	issn = {1996-1073},
	doi = {10.3390/en13164042},
	url = {https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/13/16/4042},
	author = {G{\"u}rkan Kumbaro{\u g}lu and Canaz, Cansu and Deason, Jonathan and Shittu, Ekundayo}
}
@article {1418,
	title = {Estimation of Influence Distance of Bus Stops Using Bus GPS Data and Bus Stop Properties},
	journal = {IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems},
	volume = {20},
	year = {2019},
	pages = {4635-4642},
	doi = {10.1109/TITS.2019.2909645},
	author = {Gokasar, Ilgin and Cetinel, Yigit and Mustafa Gokce Baydogan}
}
@inbook {1187,
	title = {Affect measurement: A roadmap through approaches, technologies, and data analysis},
	booktitle = {Emotions and Affect in Human Factors and Human-Computer Interaction},
	year = {2017},
	pages = {255{\textendash}288},
	publisher = {Elsevier},
	organization = {Elsevier},
	author = {Gonzalez-Sanchez, Javier and Mustafa Gokce Baydogan and Chavez-Echeagaray, Maria Elena and Atkinson, Robert K and Burleson, Winslow}
}
@article {1508,
	title = {On matching extendability of lexicographic products},
	journal = {RAIRO-Oper. Res.},
	volume = {51},
	year = {2017},
	pages = {857-873},
	doi = {10.1051/ro/2016072},
	url = {https://doi.org/10.1051/ro/2016072},
	author = {Chiarelli, Nina and Dibek, Cemil and Ekim, Tinaz and G{\"o}z{\"u}pek, Didem and Miklavic, Stefko}
}
@article {908,
	title = {Metabolic connectivity as index of verbal working memory},
	journal = {Journal of cerebral blood flow and metabolism},
	volume = {35},
	year = {2015},
	month = {July},
	pages = {1122{\textemdash}1126},
	issn = {0271-678X},
	doi = {10.1038/jcbfm.2015.40},
	url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/jcbfm.2015.40},
	author = {Zou, Na and Chetelat, Gael and Mustafa Gokce Baydogan and Li, Jing and Fischer, Florian U and Titov, Dmitry and Dukart, Juergen and Fellgiebel, Andreas and Schreckenberger, Mathias and Yakushev, Igor}
}
@conference {39,
	title = {Affect Recognition in Learning Scenarios: Matching Facial-and BCI-Based Values},
	booktitle = {13th IEEE International Conference on Advanced Learning Technologies (ICALT{\textquoteright}13)},
	year = {2013},
	publisher = {IEEE},
	organization = {IEEE},
	author = {Javier Gonzalez-Sanchez and Maria Elena Chavez-Echeagaray and Lijia Lin and Mustafa Gokce Baydogan and Robert Christopherson and David Gibson and Robert Atkinson and Winslow Burleson}
}
@article {TaskinCevik2013,
	title = {Combinatorial Benders Cuts for Decomposing IMRT Fluence Maps Using Rectangular Apertures},
	journal = {Computers and Operations Research},
	volume = {40(9)},
	year = {2013},
	pages = {2178{\textendash}2186},
	doi = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.cor.2011.07.005},
	author = {Z C Ta{\c s}k{\i}n and Mucahit Cevik}
}
@article {bonomo2013perfectness,
	title = {Perfectness of clustered graphs},
	journal = {Discrete Optimization},
	volume = {10},
	number = {4},
	year = {2013},
	pages = {296{\textendash}303},
	publisher = {Elsevier},
	author = {Bonomo, Flavia and Cornaz, Denis and Ekim, Tinaz and Ries, Bernard}
}
@inbook {ekcsiouglu2013user,
	title = {A user experience study of airline websites},
	booktitle = {Design, User Experience, and Usability. Web, Mobile, and Product Design},
	year = {2013},
	pages = {173{\textendash}182},
	publisher = {Springer Berlin Heidelberg},
	organization = {Springer Berlin Heidelberg},
	author = {Mahmut Ek{\c s}io{\u g}lu and Kiris, Esin and \cCak{\i}r, Tu{\u g}ba and G{\"u}vendik, Merve and Koyut{\"u}rk, Efsane D and Y{\i}lmaz, Merve}
}
@inbook {ekcsiouglu2011heuristic,
	title = {Heuristic evaluation and usability testing: case study},
	booktitle = {Internationalization, Design and Global Development},
	year = {2011},
	pages = {143{\textendash}151},
	publisher = {Springer Berlin Heidelberg},
	organization = {Springer Berlin Heidelberg},
	author = {Mahmut Ek{\c s}io{\u g}lu and Kiris, Esin and \cCapar, Burak and Sel{\c c}uk, Murat N and Ouzeir, Selen}
}
@article {erol2010exploring,
	title = {Exploring reverse supply chain management practices in Turkey},
	journal = {Supply Chain Management: An International Journal},
	volume = {15},
	number = {1},
	year = {2010},
	pages = {43{\textendash}54},
	publisher = {Emerald Group Publishing Limited},
	author = {Erol, Ismail and Velioglu, Meltem Nurtanis and Serifoglu, Funda Sivrikaya and B{\"u}y{\"u}k{\"o}zkan, G{\"u}l{\c c}in and Necati Aras and Cakar, Nigar Demircan and Aybek Korugan}
}
@article {cherng2009vibration,
	title = {Vibration reduction of pneumatic percussive rivet tools: mechanical and ergonomic re-design approaches},
	journal = {Applied ergonomics},
	volume = {40},
	number = {2},
	year = {2009},
	pages = {256{\textendash}266},
	publisher = {Elsevier},
	author = {Cherng, John G and Mahmut Ek{\c s}io{\u g}lu and K{\i}z{\i}laslan, Kemal}
}
@article {ccanakouglu2007analysis,
	title = {Analysis of a two-stage telecommunication supply chain with technology dependent demand},
	journal = {European Journal of Operational Research},
	volume = {177},
	number = {2},
	year = {2007},
	pages = {995{\textendash}1012},
	publisher = {North-Holland},
	author = {Canako{\u g}lu, Ethem and Taner Bilgi{\c c}}
}
@article {eksioglu2003minimizing,
	title = {Minimizing $\alpha$ and $\beta$ Errors in Detection Tasks},
	journal = {IIE Annual Conference. Proceedings},
	year = {2003},
	pages = {1},
	publisher = {Institute of Industrial Engineers-Publisher},
	author = {Mahmut Ek{\c s}io{\u g}lu and Chen, Guangming}
}
@conference {ekcsiouglu2003minimizing,
	title = {Minimizing $\alpha$ and $\beta$ errors in detection tasks},
	booktitle = {Proceedings of 12th Annual Industrial Engineering Research Conference (CD-ROM)},
	year = {2003},
	author = {Mahmut Ek{\c s}io{\u g}lu and Chen, G}
}
@article {14552649,
	title = {{Optimal planning and scheduling of batch plants with operational uncertainties: An industrial application to Baker{\textquoteright}s yeast production}},
	journal = {Computers \& Chemical Engineering},
	volume = {23},
	year = {1999},
	doi = {10.1016/S0098-1354(99)80045-3},
	author = {Seza Or{\c c}un and T. Cebe and I. Kuban Altinel and {\"O}ner Horta{\c c}su}
}
